In honor of the Screen Actors Guild awards tomorrow, I wanted to give my predictions for what I think the winners will be. There are only five categories, considering it also pertains to television (and only acting for that matter) so this isn’t going to be a long read like the Oscars will be. Anyway, here we go:
*Note: I will be using my usual Bold (for what I want to win) and Italics (for what I think will win.)
Best Ensemble Cast:
The Imitation Game
The Grand Budapest Hotel
The Theory of Everything
Reason: While Birdman has been passed over in other Awards ceremonies (like the Golden Globes where it lost Best Comedy to Grand Budapest Hotel,) I think it will be the biggest winner at the SAGS with ensemble cast and lead actor. Imitation Game and Theory of Everything are largely dominated by one definitive performance, and Boyhood isn’t a powerhouse other than Arquette. Grand Budapest might win if the stars align, but I think that Birdman has it.
Outstanding Performance by a Leading Actor
Steve Carell- Foxcatcher
Benedict Cumberbatch- The Imitation Game
Michael Keaton- Birdman
Jake Gyllenhaal- Nightcrawler
Eddie Redmayne- The Theory of Everything
Reason: Redmayne and Keaton took gold for their respective categories at the Globes, so it depends on whether or not the Guild wants to give it to the old-timer who hasn’t won anything, or the newcomer who gave a phenomenal and powerful performance (it’s also appropriate to add that it has to do with a disability which is usually award bait.) I want Redmayne to win simply because he is going to be making a name for himself more and more after this immense performance, but that also is the reason why I think Keaton will win because this is probably his last big hurrah in the acting category (and his only one at that, other than a mini-series, The Company.) Carell, despite enormous buzz earlier on in the season, will not win, nor Cumberbatch or Gyllenhaal.
Outstanding Performance by a Lead Actress
Julianne Moore- Still Alice
Rosamund Pike- Gone Girl
Reese Witherspoon- Wild
Felicity Jones- The Theory of Everything
Jennifer Aniston- Cake
Reason: Julianne Moore has garnered the most buzz out of any of these actresses, and she is far and away the most deserving of the award (though I haven’t actually seen it yet,) because she has never won for a film. Jennifer Aniston wasn’t nominated for the Oscar which reduced her chances of winning, and the same goes for Rosamund Pike. Reese Witherspoon, as good as she was, will most likely not win because of the lack of buzz for Wild.
Best Supporting Actor
Robert Duvall- The Judge
Ethan Hawke- Boyhood
Edward Norton- Birdman
J.K. Simmons- Whiplash
Mark Ruffalo- Foxcatcher
Reason: I think it’s pretty much a gimme at this point this is Simmons’ year for taking all of the gold. It is also clear that it is his best performance ever and it should be honored accordingly. Norton and Ruffalo give great performances, as does Hawke, but their chances of winning were shot when Simmons’ started winning. Duvall stands no chance whatsoever.
Best Supporting Actress
Patricia Arquette- Boyhood
Meryl Streep- Into the Woods
Emma Stone- Birdman
Naomi Watts- St. Vincent
Keira Knightley- The Imitation Game
Reason: There was a time when I thought that Emma Stone was going to take the gold this year, but I was happily surprised that Boyhood’s Patricia Arquette was a contender. She has won the Globe and the Critics Choice Award, so it’s only appropriate that she continues her reign tomorrow. Streep is probably done winning and Watts has no buzz, neither does Knightley.
So that’s it for my predictions. This is pretty much the last big stop before the Oscar’s on February 22nd and things are already proving to be an interesting year with some big surprises. As always, stay tuned for predictions and reactions to my favorite time of the year.